Are These The Final Days of The Golden Era of Automobiles?
Some of you have been wondering – with all of the fast-moving development of vehicle technology — how soon until we have remote-controlled vehicles? When are computers going to take the wheel and start driving our vehicles for us?
In the past five years, we’ve seen a tremendous growth of in-car telematics. We’ve also seen phenomenal growth in the use of smartphones. GPS tracking has become a standard in our lives now. The logical next step is the development of autonomous vehicles that have their own onboard computer sophisticated enough to drive a car safely. Then how long will it take for major corporations to “create” super computers that can monitor and control millions of vehicles on the road everyday – vehicles without a driver behind the wheel that can make rational decisions? Will they be sharing the road with human-controlled drivers, or will they have their own private highways?
As we’ve seen, the US Air Force is increasing the use of drone aircraft to carry out bombing missions and intelligence gathering in hostile zones. From a control room at a base in the western United States, a drone pilot can guide a plane on missions in Iraq, Afghanistan, or other trouble areas. This has changed the game when it comes to battlefield ethics.
We can assume that having computer driven vehicles will allow more efficient and safer driving. This assumes that a computer will be polite to other vehicles and make safe decisions. There is a myriad of things that must be determined before computers take to the roads. How do you insure a driverless vehicle? How does a police officer “pull over” a computer? Who has more rights, a human driver or a computer driver?
Somehow every day a driver goes up against tremendous odds with the roads filled with human drivers who can and will make random decisions. There are more than 33,000 deaths annually from traffic accidents and more than 1.2 million injuries. One can assume that the goal of autonomous vehicles is to lower the traffic deaths. Obviously, some human drivers make bad choices – like driving too fast, making improper lane changes, braking poorly, or being inattentive. Somehow we are getting by with this flawed system of drivers using their own choice. Just how do we make this transition to a monitored, controlled driving environment with the “wild card” being a free-thinking human?
There are things to overcome before unmanned cars and trucks share the roads and streets with human-driven vehicles remain. To pioneer this research, we must first send out a team of attorneys. In our world of the future, we must first know who is legally responsible for remote operation of a vehicle. Property and casualty attorneys can make a living suing incompetent and irresponsible drivers that are causing mayhem on the roadways. I can only guess that the lawsuits will increase over software glitches causing an accident, or someone hacking and stealing someone’s autonomous vehicle.
So what seems like a plot for a science fiction movie (“The Attack of the Lincoln Towncar” or “Warp Speed on Route 66″) is apparently turning into science fact. More than ten years ago in 2001, a team in China (working with their military) successfully tested an unmanned drone automobile. In recent experiments they drove an unmanned vehicle more than 175 miles, averaging 54 miles an hour – and this was a military experiment!
Google has successfully tested unmanned vehicles. So far they’ve logged more than 140,000 miles in testing. However, there has been at least one crash – apparently caused a human driving another vehicle that crashed into the unmanned vehicle. And Nevada has become the first state to adopt legislation to allow for unmanned vehicles.
In 2011, Ford Motor Company tested specially equipped vehicles in the United Kingdom that scanned the road ahead for traffic signs and alerted the driver of changing road conditions. Ford has already got adaptive cruise control that can prevent us from crashing into cars that are slowing down ahead of us. They have blind spot indicators to alert us of cars we can’t see. They have rear cross-traffic alerts to warn us of vehicles approaching us from the rear. They have rear view cameras and rear sensors. They have automatic headlights and windshield wipers. Ford’s Sync-equipped cars can call a 911 operator and relay latitude, longitude and elevation as well as open the microphone so the driver can speak directly to the dispatcher. By 2013, Ford will have vehicles that can monitor how a car is staying in its highway lane. It will automatically keep a driver from drifting out of the lane.
So the next step is refining the artificial intelligence to operate the vehicle. And, of course, designing roadways that handle “programmed vehicles.”
So I say this is the Golden Era of Automobile Driving. This is a special time. Sometime in the future we’ll look back on these days and remember being able to drive free. We’ll fondly recall a “spur of the moment trip to the lake.” We’ll be able to tell our grandchildren, ” I remember when we could gas up the car and just drive. We could go anywhere we pleased. Heck, we could even go off road. We could drive across an open field, race through the desert or drive through a park just to have a picnic.” Yep, these are the days!
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